The tropical hurricane season 2014 in the Caribbean and Dominican Republic

The 2014 tropical hurricane season officially started in the Atlantic Ocean on June 1st 2014 and will end on November 30th 2014, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

What to do during a hurricane ?

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by noaa.com (www.noaa.com)

Last update on 10.13.14 - 11.00 p.m.


Hurricane Gonzalo

The government of St. Maarten has replaced the Hurricane Warning for St. Maarten with a Tropical Storm Warning.

The Hurricane Watch for Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques and St. Croix has been discontinued.

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis.

The government of the Netherlands Antilles has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for

  • British Virgin Islands
  • St. Martin
  • Anguilla

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for

  • St. Thomas and St. John in the U.S. Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for

  • St. Maarten
  • St. Barthelemy
  • Puerto Rico
  • Vieques and Culebra
  • U.S. Virgin Islands

At 1100 PM AST, 0300 UTC, the eye of hurricane Gonzalo was located by NOAA Doppler radar imagery near latitude 18.7 north, longitude 63.4 west.

Gonzalo is moving toward the northwest near 19 km/h, and this general motion is expected to continue through early Wednesday.

A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast by late Wednesday.

On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will pass just northeast of the Virgin Islands overnight tonight and move into the open Atlantic north of Puerto Rico on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 km/h, with higher gusts.

Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Gonzalo could become a major hurricane by Wednesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 km, from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles, 165 km.

Hurricane Gonzalo
This satellite animation is provided by Wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

Hurricane Gonzalo
This satellite animation is provided by Wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

Hurricane Gonzalo
This satellite animation is provided by Wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

Hurricane Gonzalo
This satellite animation is provided by Wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

Sector Atlantic and Central America

Carribean weather

This satellite animation is offered by AccuWeather.com (www.accuweather.com)

Sector Caribbean, Atlantic and Central America

Map and satellite animation of Dominican Republic
This satellite animation is provided by Wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by weatherphotos.com (www.weatherphotos.com)

Hurricane’s Boulevard

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by noaa.com (www.noaa.com)

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by noaa.com (www.noaa.com)

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by noaa.com (www.noaa.com)

Current Sea Surface Temperature Analysis

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by hamweather.net (www.hamweather.net)

2014 Storms Archive

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

2013 Storms Archive

Satellite picture of the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean
This satellite picture is provided by wunderground.com (www.wunderground.com)

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Weather

Dominican Republic
& Puerto RicoThe weather live in Dominican Republic

Seasonal forecasts for 2014 Hurricane Season

2014 Hurricane Season

David Dilley says the upcoming season will be stronger and more dangerous than last year, with :

  • Number of storms forecast : 17
  • Number of hurricanes forecast : 8
  • Number of storm day forecast : 64

These are finally probabilities that certain territories will be affected by an intense hurricane in 2014 :

  • Category 3 or higher hurricane forecast : 90%
  • A 52% chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2013. The long-term average probability is 84%.
  • For the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, the probability of a major hurricane making landfall is 31% (the long-term average is 61%).
  • For the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, the probability is 31% (the long-term average is 61%).
  • The team predicts the probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the Caribbean as 42% (average for the last century is 75%).

Cyclones and Hurricanes history in Dominican Republic, from 1615 till…

Hurricanes history

Hurricanes for 2014

Arthur

Bertha

Cristobal

Dolly

Edouard

Fay

Gonzalo

Hanna

Isaias

Josephine

Kyle

Laura

Marco

Nana

Omar

Paulette

Rene

Sally

Teddy

Vicky

Wilfred

July, 1 to 5

Saffir Simpson Scale of winds

Category 1 Hurricane - 119–153 km/h

No significant structural damage to building structures; however, they can topple unanchored mobile homes, as well as uproot or snap trees. Poorly attached roof shingles or tiles can blow off. Coastal flooding and pier damage are often associated with Category 1 storms.

Category 2 Hurricane - 154–177 km/h

Storms of Category 2 are strong enough that they can lift a house, and inflict damage upon poorly constructed doors and windows. Vegetation, poorly constructed signs, and piers can receive considerable damage. Mobile homes, whether anchored or not, are typically damaged, and many manufactured homes also suffer structural damage.

Category 3 Hurricane - 178–209 km/h

These storms can cause some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings, particularly those of wood frame or manufactured materials with minor curtainwall failures. Buildings that lack a solid foundation, such as mobile homes, are usually destroyed, and gable-end roofs are peeled off. Manufactured homes usually sustain severe and irreparable damage.

Category 4 Hurricane - 210–249 km/h

Category 4 hurricanes tend to produce more extensive curtainwall failures, with some complete roof structural failure on small residences. Heavy, irreparable damage and near complete destruction of gas station canopies and other wide span overhang type structures are common. Mobile and manufactured homes are leveled. These storms cause extensive beach erosion, while terrain may be flooded far inland.

Category 5 Hurricane - More than 250 km/h

These storms cause complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings, and some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. Collapse of many wide-span roofs and walls, especially those with no interior supports, is common. Very heavy and irreparable damage to many wood frame structures and total destruction to mobile/manufactured homes is prevalent. Only a few types of structures are capable of surviving intact.

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